Tuesday, October 2, 2007

The Odds

Your one-year odds of dying in a car accident is about one out of 6500, that's one in 83 over a 73 year lifetime.

You odds of dieing in an airplane crash are one in 400,000, one year, and one in 5,000 over a lifetime.

Your odds of dieing while walking across the street? A one-year risk of one in 48,500 and a lifetime risk of one in 625. Wow!

What about a terrorist attack?

"Even if terrorists were able to pull off one attack per year on the scale of the 9/11 atrocity, that would mean your one-year risk would be one in 100,000 and your lifetime risk would be about one in 1300. (300,000,000 3,000 = 100,000 78 years = 1282) In other words, your risk of dying in a plausible terrorist attack is much lower than your risk of dying in a car accident, by walking across the street, by drowning, in a fire, by falling, or by being murdered."

http://www.reason.com/news/show/36765.html

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